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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Colchester United

Notts County
1 - 0
Colchester

Langstaff (54')
Jones (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mingi (53'), Read (90+4'), Chilvers (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-5 Stockport
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.97%) and 2-3 (4.68%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
38.51% (0.232 0.23) 21.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 40.23% (-0.239 -0.24)
Both teams to score 72.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.74% (0.02 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.83% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.17% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)15.22% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)43.87% (-0.153 -0.15)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)14.57% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (-0.186 -0.19)42.63% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 38.51%
    Colchester United 40.23%
    Draw 21.26%
Notts CountyDrawColchester United
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.17% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.93% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 38.51%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 7.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.25% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 40.23%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
5-4
Notts County
Chilvers (10'), Fevrier (31'), Read (38', 74'), McGeehan (58')
Egbo (21'), Tovide (68'), McGeehan (72'), Goodman (75')
McGeehan (79')
Austin (21'), Langstaff (48', 90+2'), Jones (67')
McGoldrick (14'), Baldwin (37'), Cameron (54')
Jan 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 27
Colchester
3-3
Notts County
Szmodics (8'), Mandron (45'), Pell (67' pen.)
Pell (90')
Stead (16'), Jones (19'), Dennis (32')
Aug 4, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 1
Notts County
0-0
Colchester
Jones (24'), Duffy (45'), Vaughan (74'), Hewitt (80')
Pell (64'), Jackson (86')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Colchester
1-3
Notts County
Wright (9')
Forte (51'), Ameobi (69'), Duffy (76')
Virtue-Thick (52'), Stead (82'), Hewitt (86')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Notts County
2-1
Colchester
Ameobi (68' pen.), Yates (90')
Tootle (10'), Duffy (64'), Ameobi (74'), Grant (77')
Odelusi (89')
Mandron (67'), Jackson (74'), Kent (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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