League Two

League Two | Gameweek 40

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 2
Salford City

Crowley (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

Goals
for

We said: Notts County 2-1 Salford City

Both teams have made improvements to their performances in recent games, so they head into this fixture with confidence which should make for a closely-contested match. However, Notts County should have just enough quality to edge through this one as the Magpies are focusing on making a late promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Salford City
47.25% ( 0.04)	21.72% ( -0.01)	31.03% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 68.18% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.68% (

0.02)

31.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.24% (

0.02)

52.76% (

-0.03)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

0.02)

13.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.6% (

0.04)

41.39% (

-0.04)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

-0.01)

20.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

-0.01)

53.43% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Notts County 47.25%

Salford City 31.03%

Draw 21.72%

Notts County	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.25%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.03%