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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Salford City |
47.25% ( 0.04) | 21.72% ( -0.01) | 31.03% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.68% ( 0.02) | 31.32% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.24% ( 0.02) | 52.76% ( -0.03) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( 0.02) | 13.93% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.6% ( 0.04) | 41.39% ( -0.04) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.01) | 20.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% ( -0.01) | 53.43% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.94% 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.39% ( 0) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% 3-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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