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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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Morecambe
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Notts County
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Salford City
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Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Salford City

Notts County
1 - 2
Salford City

Crowley (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McAleny (31', 87')
Mariappa (49'), Hendry (54'), McAleny (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Morecambe
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Salford City

Both teams have made improvements to their performances in recent games, so they head into this fixture with confidence which should make for a closely-contested match. However, Notts County should have just enough quality to edge through this one as the Magpies are focusing on making a late promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.81%) and 1-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
47.25% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 21.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 31.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 68.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.68% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.32% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.24% (0.024000000000001 0.02)52.76% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)13.93% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.6% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.39% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)20.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.43% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 47.25%
    Salford City 31.03%
    Draw 21.72%
Notts CountyDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.43%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: Notts County vs Salford City

Notts County
71.4%
Draw
17.9%
Salford City
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Salford City
0-2
Notts County

Ingram (76'), McAleny (84'), Watt (86'), Berkoe (87')
Berkoe (90+3')
McGoldrick (37'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (68'), O'Brien (82'), Nemane (89')
Nemane (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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