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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Sutton United |
62.48% ( -0.92) | 19.21% ( 0.24) | 18.31% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 61.92% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.09% ( 0.05) | 32.91% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.38% ( 0.05) | 54.62% ( -0.05) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.85% ( -0.21) | 10.15% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.62% ( -0.48) | 33.38% ( 0.49) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( 0.74) | 31.08% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( 0.85) | 67.4% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Sutton United |
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.48% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.42% Total : 18.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |