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Championship header 2

League Two
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Stockport County

Notts County
2 - 5
Stockport

Langstaff (61'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (32'), Langstaff (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Madden (26', 33' pen., 40'), Sarcevic (50'), Pye (84')
Briston (36'), Sarcevic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Stockport County

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 Stockport County

 Back-to-back victories will have increased confidence significantly inside the Notts County camp, but the visit of the league leaders will seriously threaten the Magpies' winning run. Stockport are unlikely to take their foot off the gas despite already having promotion wrapped up, and we believe that the League Two title will be theirs on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
27.55% (-0.399 -0.4) 21.76% (-0.139 -0.14) 50.69% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 65.41% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.373 0.37)33.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (0.421 0.42)55.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)58.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.306 0.31)13.75% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (0.605 0.61)41.04% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 27.55%
    Stockport County 50.69%
    Draw 21.76%
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.69%

How you voted: Notts County vs Stockport

Notts County
21.2%
Draw
13.5%
Stockport County
65.4%
52
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stockport
2-1
Notts County
Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Stockport
0-0
Notts County
Reid (61')
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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