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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Stockport County

Notts County
2 - 5
Stockport

Langstaff (61'), Crowley (63')
Crowley (32'), Langstaff (71')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Madden (26', 33' pen., 40'), Sarcevic (50'), Pye (84')
Briston (36'), Sarcevic (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 1-2 Stockport County

Back-to-back victories will have increased confidence significantly inside the Notts County camp, but the visit of the league leaders will seriously threaten the Magpies' winning run. Stockport are unlikely to take their foot off the gas despite already having promotion wrapped up, and we believe that the League Two title will be theirs on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
27.55% (-0.399 -0.4) 21.76% (-0.139 -0.14) 50.69% (0.539 0.54)
Both teams to score 65.41% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.11% (0.373 0.37)33.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.26% (0.421 0.42)55.73% (-0.42 -0.42)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.15% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)58.47% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.306 0.31)13.75% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.96% (0.605 0.61)41.04% (-0.604 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 27.55%
    Stockport County 50.69%
    Draw 21.76%
Notts CountyDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.14% (0.075 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.36% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.05% (0.071 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.16% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.053 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.041 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 50.69%

How you voted: Notts County vs Stockport

Notts County
21.2%
Draw
13.5%
Stockport County
65.4%
52
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stockport
2-1
Notts County
Wootton (7'), Madden (86' pen.)
Croasdale (36'), Byrne (55'), Pye (56'), Richardson (84')
McGoldrick (90+3')
Bostock (76'), Cameron (85')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Stockport
3-0
Notts County
Madden (28', 71'), Crankshaw (48')
Sarcevic (53'), Madden (83')

Palmer (42'), Francis (52')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
2-1
Stockport
Wootton (54'), Vincent (68')
Rawlinson (18'), Wootton (63')
Whitfield (90+3' pen.)
Keane (20'), Hogan (50'), Quigley (60')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Notts County
1-0
Stockport
Reeves (35')
Rawlinson (40')

Kitching (45+1'), Palmer (69'), Thomas (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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