League Two

League Two | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 3
MK Dons

Austin (45+4'), Jatta (48'), Nemane (90+1')
Langstaff (58'), Robertson (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dean (19'), Harrison (64', 83')
Norman (39'), Bate (39'), Harvie (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Notts County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 5-0 Walsall
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Notts County 1-2 MK Dons

Defensively, Notts County have struggled to hold it together throughout the year, and they are catching MK Dons at a bad time, with the visitors fresh off an emphatic victory last week, while the Dons have the added motivation of being in the thick of the race for a spot in League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 38.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.54%) and 2-0 (4.81%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Notts County	Draw	MK Dons
39.33% ( 0.26)	22.47% ( -0.04)	38.19% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 67.47% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.89% (

0.17)

33.11% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.15% (

0.2)

54.85% (

-0.2)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.38% (

0.19)

17.61% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.8% (

0.32)

48.2% (

-0.32)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.89% (

-0.02)

18.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.95% (

-0.04)

49.05% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Notts County 39.33%

MK Dons 38.19%

Draw 22.47%

Notts County	Draw	MK Dons
2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.19%