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Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Edgeley Park
MK Dons

Stockport
5 - 0
MK Dons

Camps (31'), Madden (36'), Olaofe (45+1'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51'), Byrne (90+5')
Kane (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Payne (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 MK Dons

Stockport boss Challinor has labelled Saturday's enticing showdown as one that both sides simply have to win, but the hosts' recent failures to convert one point into three and MK Dons' propensity to fall short on the road may put paid to that idea. The Hatters are certainly nowhere near the force that they were during the earliest months of the campaign, but even with their crisis on the left-hand side of the backline, we can envisage the defensively-sound hosts maintaining their top-three position by taking a point off an MK Dons crop who do not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
52.04% (0.238 0.24) 23.71% (-0.032 -0.03) 24.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)45.93% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.075000000000003 0.08)17.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.125 0.13)48.26% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)33.02% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.216 -0.22)69.61% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 52.03%
    MK Dons 24.25%
    Draw 23.7%
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Stockport vs MK Dons

Stockport County
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
MK Dons
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Eisa (26')
Robson (58'), Smith (62'), Gilbey (72'), Harvie (83')
Barry (17'), Powell (45+2')
Barry (75'), Pye (88')
Feb 6, 2010 3pm
Stockport
1-3
MK Dons
Donnelly (11')
Sadler (35'), Mullins (60'), Pilkington (89')
Townsend (74'), Easter (24'), Wilbraham (56')
Woodards (21'), Easter (43'), Townsend (74')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Stockport
Puncheon (25', 82'), Quashie (49'), Easter (28')
Easter (42'), Puncheon (75')

Raynes (10'), Griffin (87'), Mullins (90')
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Gerba (45')
Leven (45'), Cummings (67'), Angel Llera (83'), Gallen (88'), Navarro (90')
Lewington (90' og.), Taylor (57')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary20020
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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