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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Walsall

MK Dons
5 - 0
Walsall

Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
Last Game: Colchester 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Walsall

 Both teams are aiming to be promoted out of League Two this season, and that makes matches like this crucially important, but can also lead to cautious displays. Considering they are each coming into this one on the back of poor performances, it could be a case of taking a point that is better than gambling for all three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.31% (-0.067 -0.07) 22.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 25.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 60.25% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.34% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)39.66% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)62.01% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)15.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)43.96% (0.064 0.06)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.018999999999991 0.02)28.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.76% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.31%
    Walsall 25.17%
    Draw 22.51%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.31%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.4% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 25.17%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Walsall

MK Dons
100%
Draw
0.0%
Walsall
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Walsall
1-0
MK Dons
Ngoy (70')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-1
Walsall
Aneke (24')
Ebanks-Landell (57')
Roberts (58' pen.)
Apr 30, 2017 12pm
Walsall
1-4
MK Dons
Oztumer (84')
Muirhead (11'), Reeves (32'), O'Keefe (71'), Barnes (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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