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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Stockport County

Forest Green
0 - 3
Stockport


Osadebe (33'), Bunker (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Camps (18'), Richards (28'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 23 at 5.15pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-4 Stockport County

Stockport's emphatic victory against their promotion rivals MK Dons last time out could prove to be a hugely important one, not least as it is likely to breathe new fire into their final eight matches of the season. Forest Green have lost successive games in recent weeks and we would be amazed if that is not extended to three by the time that the referee's full-time whistle blows on Friday, and they may be lucky to avoid a thrashing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
19.47% (0.029 0.03) 22.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 57.94% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)46.69% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)38.01% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)74.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)15.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)45% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 19.47%
    Stockport County 57.94%
    Draw 22.58%
Forest Green RoversDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.72%
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.58%
0-1 @ 11.09%
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.94%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Stockport

Forest Green Rovers
10.5%
Draw
10.5%
Stockport County
78.9%
19
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Stockport
2-0
Forest Green
Olaofe (15'), Sarcevic (35')
Southam-Hales (47')

Lavinier (39')
Lavinier (62')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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