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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
39.9% ( 0.09) | 23.8% ( -0.06) | 36.3% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 62.14% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.04% ( 0.26) | 39.95% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.68% ( 0.27) | 62.32% ( -0.27) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( 0.16) | 20.29% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.35% ( 0.25) | 52.65% ( -0.25) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 0.1) | 22.04% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( 0.15) | 55.37% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |