Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.