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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
42.66% ( 1.55) | 23.66% ( 0.12) | 33.68% ( -1.68) |
Both teams to score 62.04% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( -1.02) | 39.85% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% ( -1.06) | 62.2% ( 1.06) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( 0.25) | 19.01% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( 0.42) | 50.57% ( -0.42) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( -1.38) | 23.4% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% ( -2.05) | 57.39% ( 2.05) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.4% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |