Tranmere2 - 1Swindon
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town
Given their recent run of results against the hosts, Swindon Town will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result this weekend. However, Tranmere have won their last three home games in the league and we are tipping them to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
39.14% ( 0.05) | 24.06% ( -0.04) | 36.8% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.22% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.17) | 41.18% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.18) | 63.57% ( -0.18) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.83% ( 0.1) | 21.17% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.96% ( 0.16) | 54.04% ( -0.16) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 0.07) | 22.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.18% ( 0.1) | 55.82% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 39.14% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.8% |
