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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Sutton
1 - 1
Tranmere

John (88')
Smith (45+1'), Coley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goodliffe (17' og.)
Wood (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

With so much at stake at the bottom of the table, this could be a scrappy encounter, although both teams have at least claimed positive results heading into the clash. Sutton showed excellent spirit to come from behind to claim a point against Colchester last time out, and we can envisage them sharing the spoils once again versus Adkins' Tranmere side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
56.36% (1.578 1.58) 23.29% (-0.362 -0.36) 20.34% (-1.209 -1.21)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.052 0.05)48.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)70.63% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (0.592 0.59)17.01% (-0.585 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (1.033 1.03)47.14% (-1.026 -1.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.86% (-1.194 -1.19)38.14% (1.201 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-1.172 -1.17)74.9% (1.179 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 56.35%
    Tranmere Rovers 20.34%
    Draw 23.29%
Sutton UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.359 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.107 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.34%

How you voted: Sutton vs Tranmere

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
45.5%
Tranmere Rovers
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Tranmere
2-2
Sutton
Hawkes (39'), Hemmings (58')
Smith (11', 61')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sutton
0-2
Tranmere
Hemmings (19' pen.), Lewis (45+4')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sutton
1-1
Tranmere
Goodliffe (15')
Hawkes (68')
Nevitt (47')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Tranmere
0-1
Sutton
Olaofe (71')
Goodliffe (66'), Bennett (82')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Sutton
1-3
Tranmere
Davis (25')
Collins (42'), Eastmond (54'), Downer (61'), Walton (94')
Buxton (10'), Jennings (44'), Cook (90')
Buxton (40'), Banks (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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