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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
45.17% ( -0.04) | 27.33% ( 0.05) | 27.49% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.03% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.06% ( -0.2) | 57.94% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.36% ( -0.16) | 78.64% ( 0.16) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0.11) | 25.57% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.55% ( -0.15) | 60.44% ( 0.15) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.19% ( -0.13) | 36.81% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( -0.13) | 73.59% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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