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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Sutton United

Crawley
1 - 2
Sutton

Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Randall (83'), Boldewijn (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 1-0 Sutton United

While Sutton United will be looking to end their poor run of results on the road, Monday's game pits them against a Crawley Town side who are unbeaten in five of their last six home games in the league. We are backing the Red Devils to end their losing streak in this fixture and return to winning ways in front of their home fans, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
37.93% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 27.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 34.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.02% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.325 0.32)56.69% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.26 0.26)77.65% (-0.262 -0.26)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08% (0.22 0.22)28.91% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (0.273 0.27)64.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.151 0.15)31.04% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.178 0.18)67.36% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 37.93%
    Sutton United 34.5%
    Draw 27.56%
Crawley TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.86% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 10.5% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.5%

Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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