League Two

League Two | Gameweek 21

Dec 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
0 - 2
Hartlepool

FT(HT: 0-0)

Menayese (64'), Johnson (81' og.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-5 Stockport
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Hartlepool United

Having reached the FA Cup third round, Hartlepool's form is not as bad as it seems at first glance. Nevertheless, Crawley appear to be a team who are on the up, and they are playing with enough belief to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
50.89% ( -0.09)	24.83% ( 0.04)	24.27% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.37% (

-0.09)

50.63% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46% (

-0.08)

72.53% (

0.08)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

-0.07)

19.89% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.98% (

-0.12)

52.01% (

0.12)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.43% (

-0)

35.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.66% (

-0)

72.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 50.89%

Hartlepool United 24.27%

Draw 24.83%

Crawley Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 50.89%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.27%