League Two

League Two | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Hartlepool

Rose (79')
Gilbey (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Umerah (27'), Hamilton (39'), Paterson (76'), Killip (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Hartlepool United
59.87% ( 0.28)	23.06% ( -0.11)	17.07% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 46.47% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

0.15)

52.09% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

0.13)

73.81% (

-0.13)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.95% (

0.15)

17.05% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78% (

0.27)

47.22% (

-0.27)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

-0.13)

43.98% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.89% (

-0.1)

80.11% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 59.86%

Hartlepool United 17.07%

Draw 23.05%

Stevenage	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 59.86%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.07%