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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Sutton United

Stevenage
3 - 0
Sutton

Sweeney (28'), Norris (48', 70')
Sweeney (64'), Gilbey (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eastmond (24'), Milsom (52'), Barden (67'), John (74'), Thomas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Sutton United

With Stevenage third in the league and yet to drop a point at the Lamex Stadium this season, we have this one as a narrow victory for the home side. Sutton will cause the Boro some problems, and have shown they can beat the division's better teams, winning against sixth-placed Barrow and seventh-placed Mansfield, but will just about come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawSutton United
47.26% (-1.102 -1.1) 27.12% (0.507 0.51) 25.61% (0.595 0.59)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.886 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-1.402 -1.4)58.26% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-1.111 -1.11)78.89% (1.111 1.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-1.131 -1.13)24.69% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-1.609 -1.61)59.23% (1.61 1.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.25 -0.25)38.59% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.238 -0.24)75.33% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 47.26%
    Sutton United 25.61%
    Draw 27.12%
StevenageDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.497 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.413 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Sutton

Stevenage
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Sutton United
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Sutton
Norris (34'), Reid (39', 64')
Prosser (55')
Smith (58'), Milsom (66' pen.), Bennett (90+8')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
0-0
Stevenage
Sutton win 4-3 on penalties

Eastmond (90+8')

Lines (33'), Vancooten (38'), Marshall (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Stevenage
Bennett (58', 63' pen.)
John (38'), Kizzi (89')
List (55')
Taylor (47'), Coker (90+4')
Vancooten (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1BarrowBarrow7511113816
2Gillingham7511102816
3Walsall7502114715
4Notts County7421147714
5AFC Wimbledon641194513
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster7412119213
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe741277013
8Bradford CityBradford732297211
9Port Vale73221110111
10Chesterfield723210649
11Colchester UnitedColchester7232121029
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood62318719
13Salford City723246-29
14Grimsby Town7304912-39
15Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
16Newport CountyNewport73041015-59
17Bromley7214911-27
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham7214911-27
19MK Dons721469-37
20Harrogate TownHarrogate7214610-47
21Swindon TownSwindon7133710-36
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle7205814-66
23Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83
24Morecambe7025510-52


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