Stevenage1 - 0Harrogate
We said: Stevenage 3-0 Harrogate Town
Harrogate Town are a team low on confidence, and struggling for goals this season, and that is not a good combination when playing Stevenage away. The hosts have been one of the strongest sides in the division across the opening nine matches, and they will be the heavy favourites on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
54.37% ( 0.94) | 25.02% ( -0.38) | 20.61% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( 0.82) | 54.92% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( 0.67) | 76.21% ( -0.67) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( 0.71) | 20.18% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.52% ( 1.12) | 52.48% ( -1.12) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.12) | 41.55% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.96% ( -0.11) | 78.04% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.61% |
