League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
1 - 0
Harrogate

Sweeney (90')
Vancooten (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Harrogate Town

Last Six:

Comp:

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 3-0 Harrogate Town

Harrogate Town are a team low on confidence, and struggling for goals this season, and that is not a good combination when playing Stevenage away. The hosts have been one of the strongest sides in the division across the opening nine matches, and they will be the heavy favourites on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Harrogate Town
54.37% ( 0.94)	25.02% ( -0.38)	20.61% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 46.65% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

0.82)

54.92% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

0.67)

76.21% (

-0.67)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

0.71)

20.18% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52% (

1.12)

52.48% (

-1.12)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.45% (

-0.12)

41.55% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.96% (

-0.11)

78.04% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 54.36%

Harrogate Town 20.61%

Draw 25.01%

Stevenage	Draw	Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.36%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.61%