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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stockport County |
30.21% ( -0.04) | 26.07% ( -0.12) | 43.71% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.12% ( 0.48) | 51.88% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.37% ( 0.42) | 73.63% ( -0.42) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.49% ( 0.22) | 31.51% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.09% ( 0.26) | 67.9% ( -0.26) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% ( 0.29) | 23.6% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% ( 0.42) | 57.68% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.21% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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