MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 00:57:38| >> :600:629089:629089:
South Sudan national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 1pm UK
Juba Stadium
Congo national football team

South Sudan
3 - 2
Congo

Malish Ezibon Wajo (31', 45+2'), Elly (84')
Paulino Juma (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Ibayi (26', 35')
Berlohd Mbemba Kambamba (22')
Passi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Sudan and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Sudan 1-2 Uganda
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-1 South Africa
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: South Sudan 1-2 Congo

While South Sudan have little to play for in Thursday's clash, we expect them to put up a decent fight as they look to avoid a fifth straight defeat.   That said, we just about fancy Congo to emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
South SudanDrawCongo
30.02% (-1.245 -1.25) 28.41% (-0.351 -0.35) 41.56% (1.592 1.59)
Both teams to score 45.39% (0.508 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.33% (0.84500000000001 0.85)60.66% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.26% (0.631 0.63)80.74% (-0.637 -0.64)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-0.48199999999999 -0.48)36.28% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.93% (-0.492 -0.49)73.07% (0.488 0.49)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.24% (1.322 1.32)28.75% (-1.327 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.4% (1.621 1.62)64.59% (-1.625 -1.63)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 30.01%
    Congo 41.56%
    Draw 28.41%
South SudanDrawCongo
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-1 @ 6.68% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.319 -0.32)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.81% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 30.01%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 10.43% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 13% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.234 0.23)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.332 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.217 0.22)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.255 0.26)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.088 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.104 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 41.56%

How you voted: South Sudan vs Congo

South Sudan
23.5%
Draw
35.3%
Congo
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Congo
1-0
South Sudan
Massanga (12')
Dembi (66'), Passi (90+2'), Mafoumbi (90+2')

America Jawa Mara (30'), Wahab Thiago Ajuman (33'), Obede Morgan (90+2')
Mar 27, 2023 2pm
Mar 23, 2023 4pm
Group Stage
Congo
1-2
South Sudan
Bifouma (90' pen.)
Chol (66'), Okello (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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