World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

Juba Stadium

South Sudan
0 - 3
Sudan

Wani Adebo Levi (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Khidir Safour Daiyeen (45+3'), Mozamil (51'), Abdel Rahman (78')
Abdel Rahman (45+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Sudan and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Togo 1-1 South Sudan
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Sudan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Sudan
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

We said: South Sudan 1-1 Sudan

While South Sudan have not set this competition alight, they have proven a difficult side to beat, having taken points off Mauritania and Togo in their last two matches, and we feel they will earn a share of the spoils in this one as well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudan would win this match.

Result
South Sudan	Draw	Sudan
27.17% ( -0.34)	29.37% ( -0.15)	43.46% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.27% (

0.3)

64.72% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.3% (

0.21)

83.7% (

-0.21)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

-0.12)

40.87% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

-0.11)

77.44% (

0.1)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

0.41)

29.7% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

0.5)

65.75% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

South Sudan 27.16%

Sudan 43.45%

Draw 29.35%

South Sudan	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 27.16%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.35%	0-1 @ 14.73% 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 43.45%