MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 15:49:07| >> :120:68093:68093:
Sudan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
First Statement Stadium
Togo national football team

Sudan
1 - 1
Togo

Eisa (17' pen.)
Agab (27'), Adil (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Denkey (43')
Dakonam (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Sudan and Togo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Chad 0-1 Sudan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Togo 3-2 Cape Verde
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Sudan 1-2 Togo

While Sudan have experienced an uptick in results since their poor AFCON qualification campaign, there has been very little consistency in the starting 11, which could prove costly for them in this competition. Togo, on the other hand, seem fairly settled, especially in attacking positions, and we feel they will get off to a winning start in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
SudanDrawTogo
21.13% (0.231 0.23) 26.31% (0.035 0.04) 52.56% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 43.89% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.091999999999999 0.09)58.94% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.07 0.07)79.42% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69% (0.299 0.3)43.31% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45% (0.25 0.25)79.55% (-0.248 -0.25)
Togo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)22.58% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)56.18% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sudan 21.13%
    Togo 52.56%
    Draw 26.31%
SudanDrawTogo
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.09% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.42% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.42% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 14.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 52.56%

How you voted: Sudan vs Togo

Sudan
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Togo
28.6%
28
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2020 3pm
Friendlies 3
Togo
1-1
Sudan
Sunu (70')
(72'), (88')

(83')
rhs 2.0
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