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World Cup
Papua New Guinea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 6am UK
PNG Football Stadium
Fiji national football team

P. New Guinea
3 - 3
Fiji

Joe (2'), Kepo (45'), Gunemba (90+4')
Kepo (45+5'), Rani (82')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dunn (42'), Krishna (54' pen.), Abel Nand (90+5')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between Papua New Guinea and Fiji.

Form, Standings, Stats

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: New Caledonia 3-1 P. New Guinea
Thursday, October 10 at 5am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Fiji

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-1 Fiji
Thursday, October 10 at 8am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 64.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Papua New GuineaDrawFiji
15.94% (1.263 1.26) 19.94% (0.802 0.8) 64.12% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 53.98% (0.324 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (-1.104 -1.1)40.82% (1.104 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (-1.138 -1.14)63.21% (1.139 1.14)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.971 0.97)38.63% (-0.97 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.913 0.91)75.37% (-0.913 -0.91)
Fiji Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.877 -0.88)12.05% (0.877 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-1.889 -1.89)37.54% (1.889 1.89)
Score Analysis
    Papua New Guinea 15.94%
    Fiji 64.12%
    Draw 19.94%
Papua New GuineaDrawFiji
2-1 @ 4.46% (0.295 0.3)
1-0 @ 4.43% (0.329 0.33)
2-0 @ 2.11% (0.207 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.41% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.94%
1-1 @ 9.37% (0.387 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.156 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.231 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.94%
0-2 @ 10.42% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 7.35% (-0.412 -0.41)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3.89% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.65% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 64.12%

Head to Head
Mar 24, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Fiji
1-2
P. New Guinea
Waranaivalu (12')
Naresh (34')
Waranaivalu (42')
Kepo (45+2'), Semmy (63')
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