Friendlies 3
Oct 14, 2023 at 4am UK
Stade Numa Daly
P. New Guinea0 - 1Vanuatu
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mansale (45+1')
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Papua New Guinea and Vanuatu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: P. New Guinea 1-3 New Caledonia
Wednesday, October 11 at 6am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, October 11 at 6am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Solomon Islands 1-0 Vanuatu
Wednesday, October 11 at 3am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, October 11 at 3am in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Vanuatu had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Vanuatu win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Papua New Guinea | Draw | Vanuatu |
42.02% ( 0.74) | 24.45% ( 0.04) | 33.53% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
