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Papua New Guinea national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 8, 2023 at 4am UK
Stade Numa Daly
Solomon Islands national football team

P. New Guinea
1 - 3
Solomon Islands

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Malaysia 10-0 P. New Guinea
Tuesday, June 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: P. New Guinea vs. New Caledonia
Wednesday, October 11 at 6am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Singapore 1-1 Solomon Islands
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Solomon Islands vs. Vanuatu
Wednesday, October 11 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Papua New GuineaDrawSolomon Islands
39.78% (-0.795 -0.8) 26.35% (0.436 0.44) 33.87% (0.356 0.36)
Both teams to score 52.75% (-1.338 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (-1.756 -1.76)51.92% (1.754 1.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-1.54 -1.54)73.67% (1.538 1.54)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-1.213 -1.21)25.63% (1.211 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-1.678 -1.68)60.52% (1.677 1.68)
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.63300000000001 -0.63)29.07% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (-0.79 -0.79)64.99% (0.78700000000001 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Papua New Guinea 39.78%
    Solomon Islands 33.87%
    Draw 26.35%
Papua New GuineaDrawSolomon Islands
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.506 0.51)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.473 0.47)
1-2 @ 7.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.87%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2022 3pm
Semi-finals
Solomon Islands
3-2
P. New Guinea
Hou (33', 65'), Lea'i (71')
Wae (11')
Komolong (23'), Kepo (88')
Komolong (39'), Semmy (76')
rhs 2.0
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