Friendlies 3

Mar 23, 2023 at 5am UK

Lawson Tama Stadium

Solomon Islands
2 - 0
Vanuatu

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Solomon Islands and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-5 New Zealand
Wednesday, March 30 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Vanuatu

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 Vanuatu
Monday, March 20 at 5am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vanuatu win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vanuatu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Solomon Islands	Draw	Vanuatu
32.92% ( 0.38)	23.22% ( 0.03)	43.86% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 63.38% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.03% (

-0.02)

37.96% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.77% (

-0.02)

60.22% (

0.02)

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

0.21)

22.94% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

0.31)

56.71% (

-0.31)

Vanuatu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25% (

-0.18)

17.75% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57% (

-0.31)

48.43% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Solomon Islands 32.92%

Vanuatu 43.86%

Draw 23.22%

Solomon Islands	Draw	Vanuatu
2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.92%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.86%