World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Final

Mar 30, 2022 at 6pm UK

Solomon Islands
0 - 5
New Zealand

Kaua (10'), Kofana (79')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tuiloma (23', 69'), Wood (39'), Bell (50'), Garbett (90+1')
Stamenic (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Solomon Islands and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 0-5 New Zealand
Wednesday, March 30 at 6pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

New Zealand

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Oman vs. New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

We said: Solomon Islands 0-1 New Zealand

With so much at stake, we do not expect Wednesday's encounter to be a free-flowing affair, but with New Zealand ranked 31 places higher in the FIFA World Rankings than the Solomon Islands, we think that Hay's side will have enough quality to edge out their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for New Zealand had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest New Zealand win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
Solomon Islands	Draw	New Zealand
46.82%	24.24%	28.94%

Both teams to score 57.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33%

44.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.97%

67.03%

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1%

50.9%

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27%

28.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43%

64.57%

Score Analysis

Solomon Islands 46.82%

New Zealand 28.94%

Draw 24.23%

Solomon Islands	Draw	New Zealand
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.18% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.08% 0-1 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.94%