World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Semi-finals

Mar 27, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

New Zealand
1 - 0
Tahiti

Cacace (70')
Reid (32'), Cacace (51'), Greive (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Keck (7'), Heitaa (27'), Paama (90+2'), Bremond (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between New Zealand and Tahiti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Oman vs. New Zealand
Thursday, June 9 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Tahiti

Last Game: New Zealand 1-0 Tahiti
Sunday, March 27 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

We said: New Zealand 4-0 Tahiti

New Zealand have so far demonstrated that they are a level above the rest of their competitors in Oceania qualifying, and we think that they will continue to dominate on Sunday when they come up against a Tahiti side who will feel under-prepared following a chaotic group stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Tahiti had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Tahiti win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Tahiti
52.7%	22.37%	24.93%

Both teams to score 60.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77%

39.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.44%

61.56%

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02%

14.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58%

43.42%

Tahiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15%

28.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29%

64.71%

Score Analysis

New Zealand 52.7%

Tahiti 24.93%

Draw 22.36%

New Zealand	Draw	Tahiti
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.01% Total : 52.7%	1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 6.34% 0-1 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.93%