Friendlies 3

Mar 26, 2023 at 6am UK

ANZ Stadium

Fiji
0 - 2
Solomon Islands

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Fiji and Solomon Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiji

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 Vanuatu
Monday, March 20 at 5am in International Friendlies

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Solomon Islands 2-0 Vanuatu
Thursday, March 23 at 5am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Fiji had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Fiji win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.

Result
Fiji	Draw	Solomon Islands
26.87% ( -0.47)	23.12% ( -0.12)	50.01% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 59.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59% (

0.2)

41% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.61% (

0.21)

63.39% (

-0.2)

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

-0.23)

28.32% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

-0.3)

64.05% (

0.3)

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44% (

0.29)

16.56% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.66% (

0.52)

46.34% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Fiji 26.87%

Solomon Islands 50.01%

Draw 23.12%

Fiji	Draw	Solomon Islands
2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.58% Total : 26.87%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.01%