World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK

Fiji
1 - 2
P. New Guinea

Waranaivalu (12')
Naresh (34')
Waranaivalu (42')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kepo (45+2'), Semmy (63')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between Fiji and Papua New Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiji

Last Game: Fiji 1-2 P. New Guinea
Thursday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: Solomon Islands 3-2 P. New Guinea
Sunday, March 27 at 3pm in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

We said: Fiji 1-0 Papua New Guinea

Both nations will fancy their chances of success on Thursday, though Fiji will have the psychological edge against Papua New Guinea considering they are unbeaten in each of the last five meetings. Although there is little to separate these two nations, we feel that Fiji will edge out their opponents to claim a slender victory in Qatar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiji win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiji win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Papua New Guinea win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Fiji	Draw	Papua New Guinea
48.48%	25.27%	26.25%

Both teams to score 52.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16%

50.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28%

72.73%

Fiji Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01%

20.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24%

53.76%

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33%

70.67%

Score Analysis

Fiji 48.47%

Papua New Guinea 26.25%

Draw 25.26%

Fiji	Draw	Papua New Guinea
1-0 @ 11.13% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.47%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.25%