Malaysia

10 - 0

P. New Guinea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 90.57%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 2.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.