Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 93.27%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 1.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.82%) and 2-0 (13.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.43%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.