World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 15, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Bahrain
4 - 0
Hong Kong

Dhiya (49'), Hashim Issa (54' pen., 70'), Abdulatif (90' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Michel Afonso (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Hong Kong had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Hong Kong win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Hong Kong
50.3%	23.76%	25.95%

Both teams to score 56.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.36%

44.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.99%

67.01%

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.18%

17.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.44%

48.55%

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06%

30.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.76%

67.24%

Score Analysis

Bahrain 50.3%

Hong Kong 25.95%

Draw 23.75%

Bahrain	Draw	Hong Kong
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 9.51% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.3%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 6.54% 0-1 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.95%