MX23RW : Thursday, October 10 01:19:34| >> :120:26384:26384:
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World Cup
New Caledonia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Oceania | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 5am UK
TFL National Stadium
Papua New Guinea national football team

New Caledonia
vs.
P. New Guinea

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Oceania Group Stage clash between New Caledonia and Papua New Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Caledonia

Last Game: Solomon Islands 1-0 New Caledonia
Saturday, October 14 at 7am in International Friendlies

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: CAR 4-0 P. New Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Caledonia win with a probability of 72.01%. A draw has a probability of 16.6% and a win for Papua New Guinea has a probability of 11.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Caledonia win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.45%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it is 1-2 (3.36%).

Result
New CaledoniaDrawPapua New Guinea
72.01% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 16.59% (0.119 0.12) 11.4% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-1.072 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.32% (-1.073 -1.07)35.68% (1.077 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.26% (-1.194 -1.19)57.74% (1.199 1.2)
New Caledonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.32% (-0.253 -0.25)8.68% (0.2569 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.11% (-0.63000000000001 -0.63)29.89% (0.635 0.63)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.06% (-1.007 -1.01)41.94% (1.012 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (-0.889 -0.89)78.38% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
Score Analysis
    New Caledonia 72.01%
    Papua New Guinea 11.4%
    Draw 16.59%
New CaledoniaDrawPapua New Guinea
2-0 @ 10.87% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.368 0.37)
3-0 @ 8.86% (0.156 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.41% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-0 @ 2.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.3% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.104 -0.1)
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.064 -0.06)
6-1 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 72.01%
1-1 @ 7.73% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.193 0.19)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.59%
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.16% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.97% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 11.4%

Who will win Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Oceania clash between New Caledonia and P. New Guinea?

New Caledonia
Draw
Papua New Guinea
New Caledonia
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Papua New Guinea
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2023 6am
Friendlies 3
P. New Guinea
1-3
New Caledonia
Neoere (42'), Welepane (52' pen.)
Semmy (45+2'), Xowi (71')
Mar 21, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
P. New Guinea
1-0
New Caledonia
Semmy (8')

Gope-Fenepej (90+3')
Decoire (87')
rhs 2.0
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