MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 14:39:47| >> :120:21852:21852:
Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Senegal national football team

Burkina Faso
vs.
Senegal

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Burkina Faso 1-2 Senegal

The last three meetings between Burkina Faso and Senegal have seen a combined 10 goals scored, and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Stade du 26 Mars on Thursday. Burkina Faso narrowly avoided defeat when the two nations met in September, and while they have been tough to crack in the qualifiers, Senegal's quality should see them to all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw has a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso has a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it is 1-0 (10.06%).

Result
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
27.51% (-0.029 -0.03) 28.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 44.29% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.14% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)60.86% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.11% (-0.044 -0.04)80.89% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)38.4% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.055 -0.05)75.15% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)27.37% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)62.84% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 27.51%
    Senegal 44.29%
    Draw 28.18%
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 44.29%

Who will win Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal?

Burkina Faso
Draw
Senegal
Burkina Faso
24.1%
Draw
48.3%
Senegal
27.6%
29
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Senegal
1-1
Burkina Faso
Mane (16')
Bouda (90+5')
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Burkina Faso
1-3
Senegal
Toure (82')
Guira (28')
Diallo (70'), Gueye (76'), Mane (87')
Sarr (50'), Abou Cisse (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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