Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Burkina Faso4 - 1Burundi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burkina Faso 3-1 Malawi
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Senegal
Monday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Burkina Faso 1-0 Burundi
Burundi have taken some huge scalps on the road of late and have every reason to believe they can emerge victorious here. That said, we can see the home side coming out on top in what should be a tight affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Burundi win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Burundi |
55.79% ( 1.06) | 24.19% ( -0.17) | 20.02% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.51% ( -0.4) | 52.49% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.84% ( -0.34) | 74.15% ( 0.34) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( 0.25) | 18.69% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.96% ( 0.43) | 50.03% ( -0.43) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( -1.18) | 40.77% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.65% ( -1.08) | 77.35% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Burkina Faso 55.78%
Burundi 20.02%
Draw 24.19%
| Burkina Faso | Draw | Burundi |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.11% Total : 55.78% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.02% |
How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Burundi
Burkina Faso
69.7%Draw
21.2%Burundi
9.1%33
Form Guide
