World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Spisska Bela - stadion s umelou hracou plochou

Egypt
2 - 1
Burkina Faso

Trezeguet (3', 8')
Abdelmonem (55'), Trezeguet (90+1'), Trezeguet (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Traore (56')
Ouedraogo (31')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Egypt and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Egypt 2-4 Croatia
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Burkina Faso

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Niger
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

We said: Egypt 1-0 Burkina Faso

While Thursday's fixture could reshape the Group A dynamic, Egypt should back themselves to record a marginal victory to continue their unblemished start to World Cup qualifying. Burkina Faso have never defeated the Pharaohs, and that unwanted run against the North Africans should continue this week's Cairo encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Egypt would win this match.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Burkina Faso
56.54% ( 0.14)	25.2% ( 0.21)	18.26% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 42.77% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.8% (

-1.13)

58.2% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15% (

-0.9)

78.84% (

0.89)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39% (

-0.39)

20.61% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84% (

-0.62)

53.16% (

0.62)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.87% (

-1.09)

46.12% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.18% (

-0.85)

81.82% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Egypt 56.53%

Burkina Faso 18.26%

Draw 25.19%

Egypt	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.46) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.18% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.49% Total : 18.26%