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World Cup
Burkina Faso national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Guinea-Bissau national football team

Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

Camara (10'), Traore (61'), Cisse (90+4')
Ouedraogo (68'), Dayo (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bikel (44'), Semedo (69'), Mane (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burkina Faso and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 1-2 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Guinea-Bissau
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Burkina Faso 1-0 Guinea-Bissau

 With Egypt clearly favourites to win Group A and automatically qualify for the World Cup as a result, these two nations will be desperate to start positively as they look to cause an upset by finishing above the Pharaohs. Guinea-Bissau are a very organised team who have improved in recent years, but scoring goals is often an issue for them, so we expect Burkina Faso's attacking firepower to help them record a narrow victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawGuinea-Bissau
45.67% (-0.256 -0.26) 29.96% (-0.223 -0.22) 24.37% (0.479 0.48)
Both teams to score 38.39% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.32% (0.83 0.83)67.68% (-0.83 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.28% (0.547 0.55)85.72% (-0.547 -0.55)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02% (0.28400000000001 0.28)29.97% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.341 0.34)66.09% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.83% (0.966 0.97)45.17% (-0.968 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.93% (0.758 0.76)81.07% (-0.75699999999999 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 45.67%
    Guinea-Bissau 24.37%
    Draw 29.94%
Burkina FasoDrawGuinea-Bissau
1-0 @ 16.31% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.095 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.25% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 45.67%
0-0 @ 13.53% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 29.94%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.15% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau

Burkina Faso
58.6%
Draw
31.0%
Guinea-Bissau
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2017 7pm
Group Stage
Guinea-Bissau
0-2
Burkina Faso
Silva (11' og.), Traore (58')
rhs 2.0
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