Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Angola
2 - 0
Burkina Faso

Mabululu (36'), Zini (90+2')
Mabululu (36'), Milson (79'), Neblu (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ouedraogo (27')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Angola and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mauritania 2-3 Angola
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	2	1	4
2	Burkina Faso	2	1	4
3	Algeria	2	0	2
4	Mauritania	2	-2	0

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Burkina Faso
Saturday, January 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	2	1	4
2	Burkina Faso	2	1	4
3	Algeria	2	0	2
4	Mauritania	2	-2	0

We said: Angola 1-1 Burkina Faso

Both Angola and Burkina Faso have given a good account of themselves over the opening two matches and will be full of confidence heading into this one. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 51.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.

Result
Angola	Draw	Burkina Faso
51.43% ( 0.2)	27.35% ( -0.09)	21.22% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 41.42% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.78% (

0.16)

62.21% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.1% (

0.12)

81.89% (

-0.12)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.5% (

0.16)

24.5% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.04% (

0.23)

58.96% (

-0.23)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87% (

-0.03)

45.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.96% (

-0.02)

81.03% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Angola 51.42%

Burkina Faso 21.22%

Draw 27.34%

Angola	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 51.42%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22%