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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Algeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Mustapha Tchaker
Angola national football team

Algeria
1 - 1
Angola

Bounedjah (18')
Bensebaini (35'), Bentaleb (48'), Bennacer (52'), Atal (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mabululu (68' pen.)
Fortuna (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Algeria and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions
Last Game: Burundi 0-4 Algeria
Tuesday, January 9 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Angola

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-3 Angola
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Algeria 2-0 Angola

 Having failed to win their three group-stage games in 2021, Algeria will be looking to fly out of the blocks and begin as they mean to go on in Ivory Coast. The Desert Warriors boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad, and while we expect Angola to put up a fight, we fancy them claiming all three points at the Stade de la Paix. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 62.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
AlgeriaDrawAngola
62.52% (0.077999999999996 0.08) 22.92% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 14.56% (-0.057 -0.06)
Both teams to score 41.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.42% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)55.58% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.25% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)76.75% (0.02600000000001 0.03)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (0.01700000000001 0.02)17.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)47.78% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.5% (-0.103 -0.1)49.5% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.69% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)84.31% (0.074000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 62.52%
    Angola 14.56%
    Draw 22.92%
AlgeriaDrawAngola
1-0 @ 15.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 13.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.69% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.41%
4-0 @ 3.36% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 62.52%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 14.56%

How you voted: Algeria vs Angola

Algeria
88.7%
Draw
1.9%
Angola
9.4%
53
rhs 2.0
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