Malawi0 - 1Senegal
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
We said: Malawi 0-2 Senegal
Senegal are huge favourites to carry the day here, and unsurprisingly so given their plethora of talent across the pitch. We are predicting an easy win for the visitors in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Senegal |
17.68% ( 0.2) | 24.85% ( 0.19) | 57.47% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.38) | 57.73% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.52% ( -0.3) | 78.47% ( 0.3) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.03) | 46.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.85% ( 0.02) | 82.15% ( -0.03) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.3) | 20.05% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.72% ( -0.49) | 52.27% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malawi | Draw | Senegal |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 17.68% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 15% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 12.05% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 57.47% |
