Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Burundi0 - 0Malawi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Burundi 1-1 Malawi
While Thursday's game is nothing but a dead rubber for both Burundi and Malawi, we expect both sides to go all out to secure bragging rights. However, both sides are evenly matched on paper and we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Burundi | Draw | Malawi |
34.48% ( -0.33) | 27.31% ( -0.07) | 38.22% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% ( 0.25) | 55.7% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% ( 0.2) | 76.84% ( -0.2) |
| Burundi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.09) | 30.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.22% ( -0.1) | 66.79% ( 0.11) |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% ( 0.36) | 28.27% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.02% ( 0.45) | 63.98% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Burundi 34.48%
Malawi 38.21%
Draw 27.3%
| Burundi | Draw | Malawi |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.21% |
How you voted: Burundi vs Malawi
Burundi
45.5%Draw
36.4%Malawi
18.2%22
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Malawi
2-3
Burundi
Idana (22' og.), Claude Girumugisha (33'), Elie Eldhino (87')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
Madjaliwa Mussa (21'), Nsabiyumva (90+4'), Ndayishimiye (90+4')
