Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 26, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

South Sudan
0 - 0
Sao Tome

(agg: -)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between South Sudan and Sao Tome & Principe.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 1-1 South Sudan
Friday, March 22 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 66.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 14.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
South Sudan	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
66.15% ( -1.4)	19.61% ( 0.71)	14.24% ( 0.69)

Both teams to score 50.8% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

-1.66)

42.89% (

1.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

-1.67)

65.3% (

1.66)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

-0.86)

12.1% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.34% (

-1.85)

37.66% (

1.84)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.79% (

-0.03)

42.2% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.39% (

-0.03)

78.61% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

South Sudan 66.13%

Sao Tome & Principe 14.24%

Draw 19.61%

South Sudan	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.44% Total : 66.13%	1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.61%	0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.24%