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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
AFC Wimbledon

Sutton
2 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Randall (13'), Bugiel (69')
Bugiel (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davison (40')
Woodyard (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Sutton United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Gillingham
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

 Sutton's form has improved recently, but it is still no comparison to the dramatic turnaround orchestrated by Johnnie Jackson at Wimbledon. As such, we expect the visitors to secure a narrow victory in a closely-contested affair, winning by the same scoreline as they did on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
48.41% (0.061 0.06) 27.93% (-0.093 -0.09) 23.66% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 42.51% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.82% (0.317 0.32)62.18% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.13% (0.232 0.23)81.87% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.17599999999999 0.18)25.91% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.236 0.24)60.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (0.215 0.21)42.62% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (0.184 0.18)78.97% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 48.4%
    AFC Wimbledon 23.66%
    Draw 27.92%
Sutton UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 14.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 48.4%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02%
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.04% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 23.66%

How you voted: Sutton vs AFC Wimbledon

Sutton United
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
AFC Wimbledon
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Sutton
Hudlin (17')

Bugiel (56')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-1
Sutton

Pell (13')
Eastmond (30')
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Wilson (47')

Guinness-Walker (71')
Jan 17, 2017 7.45pm
Third Round
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Sutton
Elliott (10')
Kelly (57'), Barnett (85')
Robinson (15')
Deacon (75'), Biamou (90'), Fitchett (96')
Deacon (34'), Spence (43'), Collins (82')
Jan 7, 2017 3pm
Third Round
Sutton
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Downer (25'), Biamou (47'), Collins (60'), Bailey (75')

Reeves (22'), Robinson (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815
> League Two Full Table


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