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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
38.01% ( -0.2) | 28.34% ( 0.16) | 33.65% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.63% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.39% ( -0.56) | 59.62% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.06% ( -0.44) | 79.95% ( 0.44) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -0.4) | 30.31% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% ( -0.48) | 66.49% ( 0.49) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.26) | 33.1% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -0.29) | 69.7% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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