

Northampton3 - 2Tranmere
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
9 | Tranmere Rovers | 46 | 13 | 75 |
10 | Salford City | 46 | 14 | 70 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
45.3% | 27.7% | 27% |
Both teams to score 45.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.55% | 59.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% | 79.82% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% | 26.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% | 61.29% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.95% | 38.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% | 74.81% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 13.35% 2-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 8.64% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.02% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 27% |