Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Colchester United |
49.58% | 26.86% | 23.55% |
Both teams to score 45.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.22% | 58.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.7% | 79.29% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% | 23.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.99% | 58.01% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% | 40.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% | 77.35% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 8.72% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.55% |