Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
