Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Harrogate Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Mansfield
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Wednesday, May 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Rochdale | 46 | -8 | 53 |
| 19 | Harrogate Town | 46 | -11 | 53 |
| 20 | Carlisle United | 46 | -23 | 53 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 50.45% | 25.41% | 24.14% |
| Both teams to score 49.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.97% | 53.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.38% | 74.62% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.96% | 21.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.17% | 53.83% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% | 37.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.21% | 73.8% |
| Score Analysis |
Northampton Town 50.44%
Harrogate Town 24.14%
Draw 25.41%
| Northampton Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% 2-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.45% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.74% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 3.85% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.14% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
